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Whoa! I used to shrug at markets that looked like bets. They felt like gambling to me at first, and honestly some still do. But then something shifted—my instinct said these prices were whispering truths about collective beliefs, and I started listening. Initially I thought polls or expert takes were the best bet; actually, wait—seeing […]
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Wow! The idea of betting on tomorrow’s headlines feels wild. But it’s also oddly practical. Prediction markets — event contracts that pay out based on whether an event happens — can aggregate dispersed information quickly and cheaply. My instinct says they’re brilliant for pricing uncertainty. Yet political prediction contracts raise regulatory, ethical, and integrity alarms […]